2a. Rick believes the bagel is burnt because he left it in the toaster on high for ten minutes.

Rick's leaving the bagel in the toaster for ten minutes on high causes the bagel to be burnt.

(The evidential fact causes the believed fact.)

evidential fact	causal relation	believed fact
----------	----------	----------
Rick left the bagel in the toaster on high for ten minutes.	>-- causes -->	The bagel is burnt.

The bicycle being on the carport earlier causes it to be there now.

(The evidential fact causes the believed fact.)

evidential fact	causal relation	believed fact
----------	----------	----------
The bicycle was on the carport earlier this morning.	>-- causes -->	The bicycle is now on the carport.